China’s military is close to fielding the world’s first anti-ship ballistic missile, which could turn the Pacific Ocean region close to China into a “no-go” zone for the US fleet, Bloomberg on Tuesday cited a report from the Office of Naval Intelligence (ONI) as saying,
According to the news report, the missile, with a range of almost 1,500 kilometers, would be fired from mobile, land-based launchers and is “specifically designed to defeat US carrier strike groups.”
Paul Giarra, a defense consultant who studies Chinese weapons, called the missile “a remarkably asymmetric Chinese attempt to control the sea from the shore.”
“No US military operations – air or ground – are feasible in a region where the US Navy cannot operate,” Giarra, president of Global Strategies and Transformation, based in Herndon, Virginia, said in an e-mail to Bloomberg.
“China is indeed developing anti-ship ballistic missiles. It is not a secret. During the 60th anniversary National Day military parade, China exhibited such missiles,” Dai Xu, a Chinese military expert, told the Global Times.
“However, the media report is rather exaggerated. The presumptions that it could threaten the US Navy force may be caused by the fear of a military attack from countries in the region, since five US carriers are based and operate freely in international waters near China,” Dai added.
Bloomberg also quoted an e-mail from Scott Bray, who wrote the ONI report, as saying China also is developing an over-the-horizon radar network to spot US ships at great distances from its mainland.
Andrew Krepinevich, the president of the Center for Strategic and Budget Assessments in Washington, told Bloomberg that the new missile would support China’s “anti-access” strategy to detect and, if necessary, attack US warships “at progressively greater distances.”
In September, US Defense Secretary Robert Gates said China’s “investments in anti-ship weaponry and ballistic missiles could threaten America’s primary way to project power and help allies in the Pacific – particularly our forward bases and carrier strike groups.”
However, Dai said people are overestimating the development and function of the missile and even the Chinese military.
“In fact, attacking an aircraft carrier with the missile is not an easy thing as many US media have said. To detect and lock on to a moving target in the ocean, such as aircraft carriers or other large warships, is still a very challenging issue, because ballistic missiles are mainly used for attacking large fixed targets,” he added.
General Xu Caihou, vice chairman of China’s Central Military Commission, also said during his visit to the US in October that Beijing’s rapid military modernization, including the deployment of advanced weapons in the Pacific, is only to meet the minimum requirements of national security.
“American defense expenditure is 4.8 percent of its GDP, while Chinese is only 1.4 percent,” Xu said.
“Military superiority does not depend on one or a few pieces of advanced weapons, but rather on comprehensive strength,” said Luo Yuan, deputy secretary-general of the China Association for Military Science.
“China has never tried to achieve demands by force. In order to counter the military threat from outside, developing modern weapons and getting prepared is necessary. It is important for China’s defensive strategy in the Pacific,” Luo added.